0

Modelling Population Dynamics

eBook - Model Formulation, Fitting and Assessment using State-Space Methods, Methods in Statistical Ecology

Besbeas, P/King, R/Thomas, L et al
Erschienen am 16.07.2014, 1. Auflage 2014
148,95 €
(inkl. MwSt.)

Download

E-Book Download
Bibliografische Daten
ISBN/EAN: 9781493909773
Sprache: Englisch
Umfang: 0 S., 3.27 MB
E-Book
Format: PDF
DRM: Digitales Wasserzeichen

Beschreibung

This book gives a unifying framework for estimating the abundance of open populations: populations subject to births, deaths and movement, given imperfect measurements or samples of the populations. The focus is primarily on populations of vertebrates for which dynamics are typically modelled within the framework of an annual cycle, and for which stochastic variability in the demographic processes is usually modest. Discrete-time models are developed in which animals can be assigned to discrete states such as age class, gender, maturity,  population (within a metapopulation), or species (for multi-species models).

The book goes well beyond estimation of abundance, allowing inference on underlying population processes such as birth or recruitment, survival and movement. This requires the formulation and fitting of population dynamics models. The resulting fitted models yield both estimates of abundance and estimates of parameters characterizing the underlying processes.

Autorenportrait

Ken Newman is a mathematical statistician for the United States Fish and Wildlife Service. His primary research interest is in the use of state-space models to model the population dynamics of fish and wildlife to answer scientific questions and to serve as management decision support tools.

Stephen Buckland is Professor of Statistics at the University of St Andrews, and is also Co-Director of the UK National Centre for Statistical Ecology. His interest in modelling population dynamics dates from a project to develop a decision support system for managers of red deer populations in Scotland in the 1990s.

Byron Morgan is Honorary Professorial Research Fellow in the University of Kent, and Co-Director of the National Centre for Statistical Ecology. He is interested in integrated population modelling, which accounts for data collected on different aspects of the demography of wild animals. A convenient component of this work is the use of state-space models for describing ecological time series.

Ruth King is a Reader in Statistics at the University of St Andrews. Her research interests include the development of population dynamics models and model fitting tools in both the classical and Bayesian frameworks. This particularly includes the application of hidden Markov (or state-space) models.

David Borchers is a Reader in Statistics at the University of St Andrews. His research involves developing general statistical models for estimating population density and distribution, integrating hidden state or latent variable models with various kinds of observation model.

Diana Cole is a Senior Lecturer in Statistics at the University of Kent. Her primary research is on parameter redundancy or identifiability of models used in statistical ecology.

Panagiotis Besbeas is a lecturer in the Athens University of Economics and Business, and also a part-time post-doctoral research associate within the National Centre for Statistical Ecology group in the University of Kent, Canterbury. His research includes integrated population modelling, recently including the importance of replication for error estimation, and new methods for measuring goodness of fit as well as for conducting model selection.

Olivier Gimenez is senior scientist in statistical ecology at the Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) in France. His main research interest is animal demography using hidden structure models with contributions to the coexistence of humans and animals.

Len Thomas is a Reader in Statistics at the University of St Andrews, and is Director of the Centre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling, an inter-disciplinary research centre at the university. He has two main research interests: (1) use of computer-intensive methods, particularly particle filters, to fit and compare state-space models of wildlife population dynamics; (2) development of methods and software for estimating animal population size and density.

Inhalt

Introduction.- Matrices as Building Blocks.- State-space Models.- Fitting State-space models.- Model Formulation and Evaluation.- Modelling Population Dynamics Using Closed-population Abundance Estimates.- Estimating Survival Probabilities from Mark-re-encounter Data.- Estimating Abundance from Mark-recapture Data.- Integrated Population Modelling.- Concluding Remarks.

Informationen zu E-Books

„E-Book“ steht für digitales Buch. Um diese Art von Büchern lesen zu können wird entweder eine spezielle Software für Computer, Tablets und Smartphones oder ein E-Book Reader benötigt. Da viele verschiedene Formate (Dateien) für E-Books existieren, gilt es dabei, einiges zu beachten.
Von uns werden digitale Bücher in drei Formaten ausgeliefert. Die Formate sind EPUB mit DRM (Digital Rights Management), EPUB ohne DRM und PDF. Bei den Formaten PDF und EPUB ohne DRM müssen Sie lediglich prüfen, ob Ihr E-Book Reader kompatibel ist. Wenn ein Format mit DRM genutzt wird, besteht zusätzlich die Notwendigkeit, dass Sie einen kostenlosen Adobe® Digital Editions Account besitzen. Wenn Sie ein E-Book, das Adobe® Digital Editions benötigt herunterladen, erhalten Sie eine ASCM-Datei, die zu Digital Editions hinzugefügt und mit Ihrem Account verknüpft werden muss. Einige E-Book Reader (zum Beispiel PocketBook Touch) unterstützen auch das direkte Eingeben der Login-Daten des Adobe Accounts – somit können diese ASCM-Dateien direkt auf das betreffende Gerät kopiert werden.
Da E-Books nur für eine begrenzte Zeit – in der Regel 6 Monate – herunterladbar sind, sollten Sie stets eine Sicherheitskopie auf einem Dauerspeicher (Festplatte, USB-Stick oder CD) vorsehen. Auch ist die Menge der Downloads auf maximal 5 begrenzt.